If the Dalit-Muslim alliance of BSP reveals its impact, then the political image of Purvanchal can change. Dalits and Muslims play a decisive position in lots of Lok Sabha seats within the area. BSP has cherished the dream of registering a robust presence in future by this alliance.
After the resignation of SP President Akhilesh Yadav from Azamgarh parliamentary constituency, the by-election is to be held right here. There the candidate will probably be an area or Saifai household, it’s being mentioned. In the meantime, the BSP has not solely returned the MLA from Mubarakpur, Guddu Jamali, however has additionally declared him because the candidate for the Lok Sabha by-elections. That is being seen as the long run political technique of BSP.
If the BSP adopts the identical technique within the Lok Sabha elections to be held within the 12 months 2024 after the by-election, then the difficulties of the SP could enhance. As a result of the unique vote financial institution of SP can also be Muslim. There may be additionally a stir within the SP camp relating to this technique of BSP.
Ethnic Arithmetic of Azamgarh Lok Sabha Constituency
There are about 19 lakh voters in Azamgarh Lok Sabha constituency. On this, there are about three and a half lakh Yadavs and three lakh Muslims and Dalits every. The remaining are from different castes. Among the many Dalits, the variety of Jatavs, thought of the unique vote financial institution of the BSP, is extra. In such a scenario, the technique of BSP is that Muslims and Dalits can unite and cease the political chariot of SP. Guddu Jamali matches for this. As a result of he has been an MLA within the 12 months 2012 and 2017 on a BSP ticket.
However, simply earlier than the election, he broke ties with the BSP and went to the SP, however the SP didn’t give him a ticket. In such a scenario, he entered the election on the ticket of Asaduddin Owaisi’s occasion AIMIM and managed to get 37 thousand votes. BSP has given a message to be sympathetic to Muslims by returning Jamali. BSP stated that at any time when Muslims flip to SP, BJP will get victory. Due to this fact, for the reason that by-election, the BSP is attempting to get the leaders who’re indignant for one motive or the opposite within the SP camp of their courtroom.
By-election will probably be attention-grabbing from Guddu Jamali
Guddu Jamali had contested from Azamgarh in 2014 on a BSP ticket. This led to a triangular contest with SP’s Mulayam Singh Yadav and BJP’s Ramakant. Mulayam bought 3.30 lakh votes, Ramakant bought 2.77 lakh and Guddu bought 2.66 lakh votes. Thus Guddu completed third. Earlier within the 12 months 2009, Akbar Ahmed Dumpy of BSP bought 1.99 lakh votes and Ramakant of BJP bought 2.47 lakh votes. On this means, within the 12 months 2014, Guddu managed to extend the vote financial institution of the BSP. Within the 12 months 2019, Akhilesh Yadav bought 6.21 lakh votes and BJP’s Dinesh Lal Yadav bought 3.61 lakh votes within the SP-BSP alliance.
However within the modified circumstances, Ramakant Yadav is now within the SP and is an MLA from Phulpur Powai. These keeping track of the political pulse of politics say that Azamgarh by-election has turn out to be very attention-grabbing within the modified circumstances. BSP has introduced the candidature of Guddu Jamali. If the candidate of Yadav fraternity lands from BJP, then this seat will turn out to be difficult for SP. It’s pure for the by-elections right here to have an effect on the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
The impact of BSP’s technique may also be seen on Purvanchal
BSP has all the time been a supporter of Dalit-Muslim alliance. In between, he performed the Dalit-Brahmin card, because of which the Muslims step by step shifted. Now as soon as once more she is crying out for preparations like 2007. Its impact may be seen in the complete Purvanchal. At current, three of the occasion’s 10 MPs are Muslims. Not solely Azamgarh in Purvanchal, there are numerous Muslim voters in lots of seats together with Jaunpur, Ghazipur, Ghosi, Varanasi, Mirzapur, Bhadohi, Bahraich.
If we take a look at the inhabitants scenario in these districts, out of about 15 lakh voters of Jaunpur, 2.20 lakh are Muslims and a couple of.50-2.50 lakh are Yadavs and Dalits. Of the 41.94 lakh in Ghazipur district, there are 4 lakh Yadavs, 3.50 lakh Dalits and two lakh Muslims. Out of 16 lakhs in Ghosi, 4.30 lakhs are Dalits, 2.72 lakhs are Chauhans, and a couple of.42 lakhs are Muslims. There are three lakh Muslims, 1.50 lakh Yadavs and one lakh Dalit voters out of about 15 lakh in Varanasi. Out of round 24 lakh voters in Bahraich, eight lakh are Muslims and 4 lakh are Dalits. That’s the reason the solidarity of Muslims with the Dalit vote financial institution has been complicating the political math.